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Cake day: July 7th, 2023

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  • It takes a truly bureaucratic mind—someone with a sensibility for relentless, daily tedium—to dismantle bureaucracy.

    Democracy, by contrast, is far easier to unravel than state bureaucracy. Bureaucratic systems often outlast governments, as seen with the colonial administrations in Africa and South Asia. Bureaucracy is designed to be “portable” across different regimes and transfers of power.

    Elon is likely facing a long and tiresome road ahead—one he’ll almost certainly abandon in some spectacularly embarrassing fashion within two months. Bureaucracy endures because it’s so deeply embedded in the everyday, utterly quotidian and entwined with, like, everything.



  • It’s theoretically possible but extremely unlikely for a number of reasons. There’s a difference between bending constitutional intent by flouting democratic norms on the one hand, and outright ignoring what most people consider to be an explicit and core constitutional principle on the other. And, again, I’m not someone that believes Trump is ultimately heading for a lich-king transformation, so basic biology makes it even more unlikely.




  • He doesn’t have to. It’s not a legal obligation, it’s a “norm.” Elizabeth Warren is incorrect. She may have helped write it, but she seems to not understand it. I imagine that’s why her accusation is so vague. It violates no laws to refuse to sign, and that’s the legal interpretation before factoring in the new presidential immunity decision. He is vested with the full power of the executive when he is sworn in whether he signs the transfer agreements or not.

    They won’t even try prosecuting him for his alleged treasonous behavior at this point. The idea they’re going to try to make a legal case out of a paperwork violation is pure fantasy for, like, six different reasons.


  • There’s some things to be hopeful about. Trump cannot run again, so the republican party has no choice but to be thinking about what’s next. Additionally, aside from the slim majority in the house, mid-term elections are only two years away. That means the Republicans need to thread a needle here by sufficiently pacifying the MAGA diehards and Trump, but not so much that they have complete reign over the direction of the economy.

    Many in the republican party have become full-on cultists. But many of them also just play-act because it’s where the power is right now. And many of them aren’t in the cult, but they simply ignore it because it benefits the party. If the Magats are given no leash, their policies will almost inevitably turn the electorate against them. So many of Trump’s proposals are good “tough guy” vengeance talking points that speak to aggrieved white people, but the election was closer than they are pretending.

    If Trump goes on a full vengeance tour and his Project 2025 crew enacts their policies, the consequences of all that rhetoric will be devastating to poor white people. I know we like to think it happened during his first term and they didn’t care, but it’s not true. He was a fairly ineffective president. But now that he’s got people around him that want to actually act not talk, there’s a huge downside risk that they’ll start losing power during the mid-term elections. If that happens, the last two years for Trump will be miserable as everyone jumps ship from the senile guy in his mid-80s that can’t run again and is bleeding out the republican party of support.

    Political pragmatics will force the republican party to turn on him. He’s simply unable to wield much influence after his last term. He will be too old and have no political future. And that will be recognized and cause some political realignment far before his presidency comes to an end.



  • To be fair, I don’t think many of us would recognize someone who is a BMI of 26 as “overweight.” It technically is, but you’ve probably seen people regularly that are “technically” overweight but would never realize it. You yourself might be (and, statistically, are likely to be) overweight according to BMI and not realize it.

    The really staggering thing is obesity. From 1960 until about 1992, it was between 15-20%. By 2000 it was 30%. These days it’s getting close to 45%.




  • Privileged college kids larping as radicals that will only protest in safe spaces and only protest against people that agree with them and/or aren’t a threat to them. It’s kind of like whatever the opposite of “fighting the power” is. I’m convinced that’s why there’s so much infighting on the college left: they’d rather hyperventilate about a minor transgression that fails the immaculate morality purity test for someone that 99% agrees with them in all other respects than actually take their politics to people who have real and serious disagreements with them.

    Hint: they’re usually only a few blocks from college campus. You know, the area you and your friends never go? Where the poor people live? That you supposedly care about?

    Not all are like this, obviously, but I regularly interact with “campus activists” in organizing circles, and it’s largely an exercise in self-obsessive circle jerking in my experience. It’s incredibly difficult to convince them to do something that might actually take them out of their comfort zone. They’d rather yell at each other, yell at other privileged, harmless college students that disagree with them, or protest college administrators. As though college administrations are some great fascist force.

    They’re one level above high school principals, Olivia. Relax.






  • Anxiety and concern are not the same thing. If you’re only able to motivate yourself through stress and fear, do you. But many people don’t find anxiety to be a useful motivator. In fact, for many people, it has the opposite effect.

    And this isn’t an Ars Technica writer. This is actually reprinted from The Converation, which is a platform that solicits academics to author articles intended for a broader audience than, say, academic journals. She’s an associate professor and licensed psychologist with a PhD.