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Cake day: December 26th, 2023

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  • The Israeli Minister of Diaspora endoresed the anti-semetic National Rally candidate in the recent French election.

    Israeli Prime Minister Netenyahu has been aligning with the anti-semetic Trump in the US elections.

    There has always been a significant amount of anti-semetism in the Zionist coalition. Hitler’s “final solution” was his solution to the “Jewish question”, which had been explicitly talked about in Europe since at least the mid 1700s, but was popularized in 1843 with the publication of Bruno Bauer’s book “The Jewish Question”.

    Before Nazi Germany came up with it’s final solution, they considered a more modest proposal of resettling their Jewish population outside of Germany, including some support for Zionist movement. Their only major opposition to Zionism was a concern that it would destabilize the region. Otherwise, it would get Jews out of Germany, thus solving their Jewish Question. Ultimately, Nazi Germany settled on a much less well structured approach of “voluntary emigration” by making life intolerable for their Jewish population, before finally settling on their final solution.

    Once Israel was established, her anti-semetic neighbors seized on the opportunity to resolve their Jewish question by finally forcing out their Jewish population (who now had somewhere to go).



  • I don’t understand how Israelis keep voting him in either.

    They aren’t exactly voting him in. Israel operates under a parliamentary system, not a presidential one.

    Between 2018 and 2022, Israel had 5 elections because they were unable to form a government. No political party held an outright majority of parliament, so to form a government, they needed to form a coalition between multiple parties. Historically, this had gone fine, but during this period the more liberal parties adopted an “anyone but Bibi” stance, and refused to join in a coalition led by Netanyahu. Similarly, Netenyahu’s party, Likud, representing about 25% of parliament, dug in and refused to remove Netenyahu from being party leader, and the other conservative parties joined in and refused to join a non Netenyahu coalition. With the Arab parties forming a third wing, neither side was able to get to 50% to form a government.

    Ultimately, Likud and the conservative parties ended up winning this fight, but only by joining with far right parties that were previously to extreme for Israeli politics.


  • The bill: https://www.congress.gov/118/bills/s3696/BILLS-118s3696es.xml

    As always, I read the bill expecting to be deeply disappointed; but was pleasantly surprised with this one. It’s not going to solve the issue, but I don’t really know of anything they can do to solve it. My guess is this will mostly be effective at going after large scale abuses (such as websites dedicated to deepfake porn, or general purpose deepfake sites with no safeguards in place).

    My first impressions on specific parts of the bill:

    1. The bill is written as an amendment to the 2022 appropriations act. This isn’t that strange, but I haven’t actually cross-references that, so might be misunderstanding some subtlety.

    2. The definition of digital forgery is broad in terms of the means. Basically anything done on a computer counts, not just AI. In contrast, it is narrow in the result, requiring that:

    when viewed as a whole by a reasonable person, is indistinguishable from an authentic visual depiction of the individual.

    There is a lot of objectionable material that is not covered by this. Personally, I would like to see a broader test, but can’t think of any that I would be comfortable with

    1. The depiction also needs to be relevant to interstate or foreign commerce. There hands are tied by the constitution on this one. Unless Wickard v Fillburn us overturned though, me producing a deepfake for personal use reduces my interstate porn consumption, so it qualifies. By explicitly incorporating the constitutional test, the law will survive any change made to what qualifies as interstate commerce.

    2. The mens rea required is “person who knows or recklessly disregards that the identifiable individual has not consented to such disclosure” No complaints on this standard.

    3. This is grounds for civil suits only; nothing criminal. Makes sense, as criminal would normally be a state issue and, as mentioned earlier, this seems mostly targeted at large scale operations, which can be prevented with enough civil litigation.

    4. Max damage is:

      • $150k
      • Unless it can be linked to an actual or attempted sexual assult, stalking or harassment, in which case it increases to $250k
      • Or you can sue for actual damages (including any profits made as a result of the deepfake)
    5. Plaintifs can use a pseudonym, and all personally identifiable information is to be redacted or filed under seal. Intimate images turned over in discovery remains in the custody of the court

    6. 10 year statute of limitations. Starting at when the plaintif could reasonably have learned about the images, or turns 18.

    7. States remain free to create their own laws that are “at least as protective of the rights of a victim”.

    My guess is the “at least as protective” portion is there because a state suite would prevent a federal suit under this law, as there is an explicit bar on duplicative recovery, but I have not dug into the referenced law to see what that covers.



  • Israel: Our demands to end the war are simple. The complete destruction of Hamas and a non-Hamas government in Gaza.

    US: Ok. We found a Palestinian organization with decades of governing experience, and a history of working well with you. Also, they have been opposed to Hamas since Hamas took over Gaza.

    Israel: Ok, as long as we don’t need to admit to working with them.

    US: Fair enough. PA, Israel and I have been destabilizing and radicalizing Gaza for decades. No country in the world is willing to touch it with a 10 foot pole now. Would you mind fixing that for us?

    PA: So, you’ll recognize us as a partial governing party is Gaza.

    Israel: No. Our voters won’t stand for us working with Palestinians. We just want you to do all of the work, and take the blame for every that goes wrong.

    US: You should really consider it. It’s a good deal.

    Israel: Also, since your here, these are some new settlements our people are building in your land on the West Bank. Could you keep your people peaceful during this? K, thanks.

    PA: Yeah … No.


    I wonder why Israel can’t find a credible partner for peace.



  • Also not an expert, but I don’t think so.

    The big threat of that would be a dismissal after a jury was sworn. At that point, jeopardy attached, so rebringing the case could be unconditional under the double jeopardy clause [0].

    The virtually unappealable way to do this would be to wait until the prosecution finishes their case. At that point, the defense will file a routine motion for a directed verdict that judges routinely deny. The defense gets to do that again after presenting their case. In either case, the judge granting the motion is not apealable.

    The judge could wait until after a verdict and issue a judgement not withstanding verdict, but that is appealable.

    [0] Not always though. A mistrial from a hung Jury can always be retired. Other forms of mistrial may be retryable depending on the facts.


  • He didn’t “collapse” or “fall”. He reached for his ear (where he was hit) and had a general “WTF is going on” face, then after a few seconds, ducked behind the podium as secret service yelled at him to get down.

    He seemed able to walk away on his own, although it is hard to tell exactly since his human shields might have been supporting him. As he was leaving, he was well enough to project an image of good spirits and raise a fist, seemingly getting into a bit of a fight with his secret service, who seemed to want him to stay small and hidden behind them.


  • It was a political rally. Those are always done with flags. It was a political rally, there were a bunch of cameras running. Many of which were taking dozens if pictures every second; there wasn’t even anything to release there, the media was the ones taking the video. Of course the most striking image would be the one to catch on, and from watching a video of it, that seems like the obvious moment to take.

    It was some fast thinking and good political instinct (although bad survival instinct) to make a photo perfect pose while getting escorted out by secret service.



  • For vaccines, we shouldn’t even be dispensing them at cost. Vaccinations are the second most cost effective public health intervention ever, beaten only by clean drinking water.

    In purely financial terms, the cost of vaccinations are lower than the average cost to the US tax payer of someone getting sick. The public service of people not getting sick is a nice bonus. As is reducing the chances of this becoming another Covid style economic catastrophe (plus, again, the public service of protecting your citizens)